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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.8% - 7.8% | 8.3% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 2.3x - 2.6x | 2.5x |
Fair Value | $16.02 - $17.78 | $16.88 |
Upside | -8.8% - 1.2% | -3.9% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 138 | 141 | 142 | 142 | 142 | 142 |
% Growth | -1.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
EBITDA | 24 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 |
% of Revenue | 17.6% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 21.6% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 30 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (9) | (10) | (10) | (10) | (10) | |
EBIT | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (5) | (5) | (5) | (5) | (5) | |
NOPAT | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Capital Expenditures | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) |
NWC Investment | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 4 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Free Cash Flow | 16 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
% Growth | 36% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |